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  • 李京,张永洋.基于马尔科夫模型的船用柴油机电子调速器可靠性分析[J].柴油机,2016,38(6):11-14.    [点击复制]
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基于马尔科夫模型的船用柴油机电子调速器可靠性分析
李京,张永洋
0
海军驻兴平地区军事代表室,陕西 兴平 713105;海军装备部装备采购中心,北京 100071
摘要:应用马尔科夫模型对柴油机电子调速器可靠性进行了系统分析。采用失效模式以及影响性分析(FMEA)进行整个系统部件级失效模式与影响分析,提出了柴油机电子调速器失效的分类方法,针对在线诊断技术和调速系统的维修特性,引入系统维修率,对调速器的可靠性进行更加全面有效的分析,得到电子调速器时变失效概率。分析结果表明:马尔科夫模型可以应用于柴油机电子调速器可靠性分析,并指导系统设计。
关键词:  柴油机  马尔科夫模型  电子调速器  可靠性
Reliability Analysis of Marine Diesel Electric Governor Based on Markov Model
Li Jing,Zhang Yongyang
Naval Deputy Office of XingPing District, Shanxi XingPing 713105;Equipment Purchasing Center, Naval Equipment Department, Beijing 100071
Abstract:The reliability of diesel electric governor is systematically analyzed using the Markov model. Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA) was carried out on the whole system based on each component to analyze the failure mode and its influence. The classification of diesel electric governor failures was put forward. In accordance with on line diagnostics and the maintenance characteristics of speed governing system, system maintenance ratio was introduced into the model. More comprehensive and efficient reliability analysis was carried out on the speed governor and limit state failure probability was obtained. The result shows that Markov model can be used to predict the reliability of diesel electric governor and guide system design.
Key words:  diesel engine  Markov model  electric governor  reliability